刘昭阁、李向阳、Dilawar Khan Durrani:Generating evacuation task plans for community typhoon emergencies: an integration of case-driven and model-driven approaches

时间:2022年06月10日

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作者简介:

刘昭阁,厦门大学公共事务学院助理教授


文章来源:

OPERATIONAL RESEARCH 2021年第3期


【摘要】

In community emergency management, it is crucial to generate evacuation task plans (ETPs) to help reduce risks in complex disaster situations. Case-driven and model-driven approaches have their respective advantages in generating ETPs, which can complement each other. With case-driven approach, historical experience can be fully used to establish the relationship between typhoon scenarios and historical ETPs. Through model-driven approach, the continuity of ETPs can be guaranteed when required information to operate the plans is missing. This study aims at proposing an integrated approach that can combine the benefits of both case-driven approaches and model-driven approaches. Based on the structural modeling of evacuation tasks, this paper proposes an integrated approach to generate ETPs for community typhoon emergencies. Finally, a case that is based on actual problems is provided to verify the reasonability and effectiveness of the proposed method.

【关键词】Community typhoon emergenciesEvacuation task plansCase-driven approachModel-driven approachIntegrated approach